
Been very busy past couple days, playing the roll of a small fund manager with a principle sum of 100k for investment. This comes from my mom and after looking at her risk profile (which is very hard to achieve cause she wants high gains with low risk). Honestly I could choose growth stocks but if I do so well in there I might as well change jobs to be a fund manager instead professionally! ie, I am not trained enough to go in and out of the market. Besides I don’t have time.
So I decided on the following portfolio:
- HSBC, listed in Hong Kong. Good growth, non-volatile, low PE compared to local banks. Citibank is also cheap now but I’ll stay away from it for the tme being. My projection is around 25% upside forward 2008. Dividend yield is 5%. Bought 800 shares (2 lots) which is around 21KSGD. PE is around 10-11. Compared to DBS which is around 20, and yet people say it is cheap?
- MIIF, an infrastructure fund. Very defensive and trading at a relatively cheap price now. I like the idea of an infrastructure fund where they hold portfolios in toll-booths, telecom industries overseas. Yes, I am quite sick of just loooking at investments centered around SG only. Dividend yield is aprox 9%pa. This is a ’savings’ counter, to trade off volatility but getting more yield than a bank can ever give. NAV is 20cents below current price.
- BBSFF, another fund, not as defensive, but high yield. Based on current price, yield is around 11.5%. Forward yield is attractive too. Looking at yield and growth for this. It is trading around 3.5c above NAV (ending sept 07). Zero exposure to credit problems. Direct and indirect.
- First REIT, not a retail reit but has exposures in Indonesia. Priced in SGD hence no currency issues in that sense, while leases run for 15 years, VS retail which is around 2 years. Therefore, projected returns are quite certain and predictable. Yield is around 8%. But decided to drop this for the time being as it is 2c higher than what I am comfortable with, at 75c. 77c is a strong support, yet this has low volume hence it is very hard to justify proper support/resistance lines. Ideal price is around 70c. Missed the boat for this one and doubt it will go into that price anytime soon.
I used 40% of the total capital for this one. ‘Bullets’ are important…
HSI and STI are undergoing a strong pullback at the moment. Credit worries it seems. I gotta get back to focussing on my work so this is what I need. Cannot afford to keep checking on prices. Anyone interested in attending TA courses though? The full course is quite dear, 2 full days in Dec, at 450 each (if registering for 2 or more pax).
Also, my dear has passed his driving on his first attempt! Swee swee on the dot, 18 points, just like me. I knew he can drive and we all went out on a little errand ride last night and I think he did quite alright in his driving. It is all on practice now. Here are a few tips from me that has not changed and is still valid since I passed some 9 years ago. And I have figures and statistics of people who went against them and paid the price for it:
- Book for your test during off peak hours. 1030am, and 1430pm is deal. Anywhere during morning/evening (4pm onwards)and lunch hours is not recommended.
- The one and only tip for passing is, prove to the tester that you can drive. Simple as that. The test is not about the 18 points allowance. If he tinks you cannot drive, you WILL get more than 18 points. Period. Prove to him you can drive, chances are most of the ticks will be on mistakes that carry no points for the first 1-2 times.
- Chances are also, you will make mistakes during the test that you have never. Eg, I did not release my handbrake fully on the slope. It has never happened during practice rounds. My dear struck a kerb during test. It has never happened too during practice. The reason being ,you are focussed on avoiding your weak areas but neglect those you are familiar with. Nothing much you can do… just be aware of it. Hopefully you don’t get an immediate failure.
- This tip is more of a superstitious thing. Do not tell anyone when your TP test is. The more people know, the higher the chance of failing. Don’t ask me.. I just heard it from someone so we decided to follow and test it out anyway. Very few people knew bout the TP test my dear was gonna take. It was almost, a guarded secret. I did tell him try not to expect to pass. I know that feeling all too well. The more nervous you are the worse you perform. Ironically, when you think you are gonna fail and hence can’t be bothered anymore during the test, that is when you do best.
- Don’t expect the tester to pat you on the back for a job well done. No matter how good you think you are, there will definitely be hell lots of areas to improve on. What do you expect? You have had barely less than 100 hrs on the road before the test. So they don’t expect a lot out of you, BUT safety is the most important. If tester is not convinced you are a safe driver, YOU WILL FAIL. There are many clauses on the penalty sheet. It is not hard finding something to penalise you on anytime. Any clause that begins with ‘Failure to’ can be used on you in almost ALL situations. It is just a matter of how the examiner wants to twist it around. 1 tick can be worth 2 , or as high as 10 demerit points.